Simulation of Change Trend of Drought in Shaanxi Province in Future Based on PRECIS Model

• 来源期刊: 气象与环境研究：英文版
• 学科: 地球科学
• 年，卷（期）: 2011,（2）
• 页码范围: 6-9
• 页数: 4页
• 分类号: P42

摘要

[Objective] The aim was to predict the change trend of drought in Shaanxi Province in future. [Method] Based on the regional climate model PRECIS from Hadley Climate Center, British Meteorological Bureau, taking precipitation anomaly percentage as assessment index, the change trend of drought in Shaanxi Province in reference years (1971-1990) was simulated, and the change trend of drought in Shaanxi Province from 2071 to 2100 was predicted. [Result] The simulated value of drought frequency in reference year...