Forecast of the Scale of Urban Construction Land in Chongqing Municipality during the Period 2010-2014

• 来源期刊: 亚洲农业研究：英文版
• 学科: 经济
• 关键词: Land use SCALE GM(1 1) model FORECAST CHONGQING MU
• 年，卷（期）: yznyyjywb_2012,（4）
• 页码范围: 52-55
• 页数: 4页
• 分类号: F293.2

摘要

With the rapid development of China’s modern cities,the scale of urban construction land has experienced dramatic changes.The forecast of urban construction land is the important content of urban construction development,and guarantee for healthy,rapid and intensive development of cities,therefore,we must reasonably determine the scale of urban construction land.Based on the status quo of construction land in Chongqing Municipality during the period 2000-2009,this article selects GM(1,1) model,linear model and non-linear model,to forecast the scale of construction land and each type of land subordinate to it in Chongqing Municipality during the period 2010-2014,respectively.The results show that the construction land in Chongqing Municipality will increase substantially during the period 2010-2014,and the area of each type of land subordinate to construction land will also increase to varying degrees,therefore the land contradictions will become more prominent.