Evaluation of the Land Production Potential in the Context of Returning Farmland to Forest in Karst Region: A Case Study of Guizhou Province

• 作者: Guang LI Ruiping RAN Shuang YU
• 来源期刊: 亚洲农业研究：英文版
• 学科: 农学
• 关键词: KARST region Project of RETURNING FARMLAND to fore
• 年，卷（期）: 2013,（1）
• 页码范围: 21-26
• 页数: 6页
• 分类号: S721

摘要

In this paper, we take Guizhou Province (the heart of southwestern Karst region in China) as the research object. By establishing gray forecasting model and time series forecasting model, we conduct the accuracy test on the actual production capacity of land and the forecasted production capacity of land in 2007 and 2008, and then conduct comprehensive forecast of the land production potential in Guizhou Province in 2020. On this basis, considering the nutritional standards needed by three kinds of life type (dressing warmly and eating one’s fill, well-off life, relatively affluent life), we evaluate the land production potential in Guizhou Province under the project of returning farmland to forest. Based on the evaluation results, we put forth the relevant recommendations for achieving sustainable land use in the context of returning farmland to forest in Guizhou Province.