Economic Analyses of Regional Impacts with Adaptation to Climate Change for the Paris Agreement

• 作者: Koichi Yamaura Shin Sakaue Toyoaki Washida
• 来源期刊: 美国气候变化期刊(英文)
• 学科: 地球科学
• 关键词: ADAPTATION Climate Change SSP RCP IAMs CGE Models
• 年，卷（期）: 2018,（3）
• 页码范围: 452-462
• 页数: 11页
• 分类号: P4

摘要

This study measures regional impacts of adaptation to climate change for the Paris Agreement under the Shared Socio-Economic Pathways and Representative Concentration Pathways scenarios. We develop a global economic model with adaptation to climate change. Simulated results indicate that: 1) Asian and African adaptation costs exceed more than one percent of GDP in the year 2100 under the business as usual scenario;2) adaptation costs under the 2.0°C target are higher in Asia and Africa than other regions;and 3) adaptation costs amount to one percent of GDP in Japan, EU and Latin America under the 1.5°C target scenario by adaptation.