Analyzing and Projection of Future Bangladesh Population Using Logistic Growth Model

• 作者: Golam Mostafa Md. Abdul Hakim Khan Mohammad Sharif Ullah Nusrat Jahan
• 来源期刊: 现代非线性理论与应用(英文)
• 学科: 数学
• 关键词: Logistic Model Carrying Capacity Zero Growth Rate Least Square METHOD 6th Order RK METHOD FUTURE POPULATION PROJECTION PARABOLIC Profile
• 年，卷（期）: 2019,（3）
• 页码范围: 53-61
• 页数: 9页
• 分类号: O1

摘要

Bangladesh is a densely populated country than many other countries of the world. The population growth is termed as alarming, however, knowledge of growth in the years to come would be useful in planning for the development of the country. This article is based on the projection of future population growth of the country. The available actual population census data during 1991-2011 of Bangladesh was applied to the application of a non-linear, non-autonomous ordinary differential equation familiar as Verhulst logistic population model with the maximum environmental capability of Bangladesh. Bangladesh will reach its carrying capacity of 245.09 million population in the next 56 years i.e. the year 2067 and then it decreases as S-shaped curve. The article has provided a focus on the changing trends of the growth of the population of Bangladesh.