Research on Logistics Demand Forecast in Southeast Asia

• 作者: Thi Yen Nguyen
• 来源期刊: 世界工程和技术(英文)
• 学科: 经济
• 关键词: Southeast Asian LOGISTICS Demand Forecast Double Constrained Gravity Model
• 年，卷（期）: 2020,（3）
• 页码范围: 249-256
• 页数: 8页
• 分类号: F25

摘要

This article predicts Southeast Asia’s logistics needs from a Southeast Asian logistics development perspective. This is not only an important prerequisite for supporting Southeast Asia’s trade policy, but also promoting the development of Southeast Asia’s logistics industry, building logistics infrastructure and improving the level of logistics services. Due to differences in economic development levels, trade structures, infrastructure construction and logistics development levels of Southeast Asian countries. Therefore, considering the actual situation of Southeast Asian countries, this article selected 21 cities in Southeast Asia as the research object. Use L-OD logistics demand forecasting method to forecast logistics demand in Southeast Asia. Obtain the amount of logistics occurrence and attraction in 21 cities in Southeast Asia in the future. And construct a double constrained gravity model to predict logistics distribution in Southeast Asia. The forecast results provide scientific data support for future logistics development planning in Southeast Asia.