Mathematical Model of the Spread of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Burkina Faso

• 作者: Aboudramane Guiro Blaise Koné Stanislas Ouaro
• 来源期刊: 应用数学(英文)
• 学科: 医学
• 关键词: COVID-19 STATISTICS Data Exposed Person Reported and Unreported Cases Mathematical Model Public Policies Basic Reproduction Number Prediction
• 年，卷（期）: 2020,（11）
• 页码范围: 1204-1218
• 页数: 15页
• 分类号: R37

摘要

In this paper, we develop a mathematical model of the COVID-19 pandemic in Burkina Faso. We use real data from Burkina Faso National Health Commission against COVID-19 to predict the dynamic of the disease and also the cumulative number of reported cases. We use public policies in model in order to reduce the contact rate, this allows to show how the reduction of the daily report of infectious cases goes, so we would like to draw the attention of decision makers for a rapid treatment of reported cases.