Risk Assessment of Marine Environments Along the South China Sea and North Indian Ocean on the Basis of a Weighted Bayesian Network

• 作者: LI Ming ZHANG Ren LIU Kefeng
• 来源期刊: 中国海洋大学学报（自然科学英文版）
• 年，卷（期）: 2021,（3）
• 所属期刊栏目: Renewable Energy Evaluation and Ocean Environment Analysis of the Maritime Silk Road
• 页码范围: 521-531
• 页数: 11页
• 语种: 英文

摘要

Marine environments have a considerable influence on the construction of the Chinese 21st Century Maritime Silk Road.Thus,an objective and quantitative risk assessment of marine environments has become a key problem that must be solved urgently.To deal with the uncertainty in marine environmental risks caused by complex factors and fuzzy mechanisms,a new assessment technique based on a weighted Bayesian network(BN)is proposed.Through risk factor analysis,node selection,structure construc-tion,and parameter learning,we apply the proposed weighted BN-based assessment model for the risk assessment and zonation of marine environments along the Maritime Silk Road.Results show that the model effectively fuses multisource and uncertain envi-ronmental information and provides reasonable risk assessment results,thereby offering technical support for risk prevention and disaster mitigation along the Maritime Silk Road.