Annual consultation on the likelihood of earthquakes (the 'Niandu Dizhen Qushi Huishang' in Chinese, where'Niandu'=annual, 'Dizhen'=earthquake, 'Qushi'≈ likelihood/trend, 'Huishang'≈consultation/panel discussion) is a spec-ial kind of intermediate-term medium-range earthquake forecast, and an important activity organized by the China Earthquake Administration (CEA) every year since 1972.