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摘要:
Entering the 21st century, China’s economic development has reached new heights and the country has ascended to the world’s second largest economy. The 20 year unrelenting development in China also stimulates income growth. The increased disposable income enables an ordinary Chinese family vehicle ownership which was unthinkable two decades ago. The most populous country has started a love affair with automobile just like in the United States. Annual automobile sales in China rose from 2.1 million in 2000 to 18.1 million in 2010 with a yearly growth rate of 24.3%, which spurs the vehicle ownership increase from 18.1 million in 2000 to 78.8 million in 2010, a growth rate of 15.9% The unprecedented motorization development in China is making a huge impact on all aspects of society, including negative consequences that cannot be ignored. Traffic congestion, air pollution, and dependency on imported oil are huge emerging problems threatening Chinese sustainable development. Although these problems occurred and still exist in many other developed and developing countries, they are more acute in China today. By collecting and analyzing the massive data from various sources, this paper explores the relationship between economic development and level of mobility by studying the historical developments from several developed counties and discusses the key issues in Chinese motorization development. The objective of the study is to predict the future level of motorization and its potential impacts.
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篇名 Modeling Motorization Development in China
来源期刊 交通科技期刊(英文) 学科 医学
关键词 Motor and Society MOTORIZATION GOMPERTZ Growth Function Vehicle OWNERSHIP Per Capita GDP GDP ELASTICITY FORECAST
年,卷(期) 2012,(3) 所属期刊栏目
研究方向 页码范围 267-276
页数 10页 分类号 R73
字数 语种
DOI
五维指标
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研究主题发展历程
节点文献
Motor
and
Society
MOTORIZATION
GOMPERTZ
Growth
Function
Vehicle
OWNERSHIP
Per
Capita
GDP
GDP
ELASTICITY
FORECAST
研究起点
研究来源
研究分支
研究去脉
引文网络交叉学科
相关学者/机构
期刊影响力
交通科技期刊(英文)
季刊
2160-0473
武汉市江夏区汤逊湖北路38号光谷总部空间
出版文献量(篇)
254
总下载数(次)
0
总被引数(次)
0
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