Impacts of Exchange Rate Volatility and FDI on Technical Efficiency—A Case Study of Vietnamese Agricultural Sector

• 作者: Nguyen Khac Minh Nguyen Viet Hung Pham Van Khanh
• 来源期刊: 美国运筹学期刊(英文)
• 学科: 经济
• 关键词: Chance-Constrained PROGRAMMING DEA EXCHANGE Rate VOLATILITY FDI Technical Efficiency
• 年，卷（期）: 2015,（4）
• 页码范围: 317-325
• 页数: 9页
• 分类号: F2

摘要

The objective of this research is to examine impacts of exchange rate volatility and FDI on efficiency of the Vietnamese agricultural sector at the provincial level for the period 1998-2011. Due to the characteristic of high uncertainty in agricultural production, the chance-constrained programming model would be used to estimate efficiency of the agricultural production sector. In order to study impacts of exchange rate volatility and FDI, we employ the two-stage model. In the first stage, we use the chance-constrained programming model to measure technical efficiency and ARIMA model to quantify exchange rate volatility. In the second stage, we use the fixed effect model to evaluate impacts of exchange rate volatility and FDI on efficiency of agricultural production in poor and rich provinces. The estimated results show that fluctuation in exchange rate volatility would reduce efficiency in agricultural production but FDI has an insignificant impact on the efficient production in Vietnam agricultural sector.