基本信息来源于合作网站,原文需代理用户跳转至来源网站获取       
摘要:
Integration system is used to denote practices that combine systematic use of the land and technologies,in which forest species are used in conjunction with herbaceous plants and/or animals respecting a spatial or temporal arrangement.Knowing that this type of production seeks to balance ecological and economic factors,it is important to understand the financial benefits and risks involved in this production.Financial analysis,therefore,acts as an important analysis tool to foster this type of activity.The paper aimed to conduct analysis of investment risk of a crop-livestock-forestry system deployed in Brazil,comparing two different production scenarios,scenario I with 17 ha and scenario II with 25 ha.The risk analysis was performed using the Monte Carlo method and sensitivity analysis(by varying the factors:the discount rate,productivity and price).A cash flow was elaborated based on annual cost and revenues data of the agricultural crops(corn and soybeans),livestock and eucalyptus,using an interest rate of 6%per year.The results indicated that the optimal age for cutting the eucalyptus was at seven years on both scenarios;scenario I had better return on investment using deterministic and probabilistic methods;scenario I presents higher investments risks;there is a negative relation between discount rate and annualized net present value(ANPV);increased productivity of crops provides greater profitability to the system;there has been an increase in the economic viability of the system,as value has been added to the products.Monte Carlo method and the sensitivity analysis showed to be an appropriate tool to analyze the risk of crop-livestock-forestry systems,making it possible to foresee how the project will respond to possible scenarios.
推荐文章
The morphological characteristics of gully systems and watersheds in Dry-Hot Valley, SW China
Morphological characteristics
Quantitative relationships
Gully system
Watershed
Dry-Hot Valley
Hydrogeochemical processes and multivariate analysis for groundwater quality in the arid Maadher reg
Groundwater quality
Hydrogeochemical processes
Multivariate analysis
Salinity
Mio-Plio
Quaternary aquifer
内容分析
关键词云
关键词热度
相关文献总数  
(/次)
(/年)
文献信息
篇名 Financial Analysis of Crop-Livestock-Forestry Systems in Goias,Brazil
来源期刊 农业科学与技术:B 学科 农学
关键词 AGROFORESTRY SYSTEM RISK MONTE Carlo method and sensitivity analysis.
年,卷(期) 2019,(2) 所属期刊栏目
研究方向 页码范围 87-102
页数 16页 分类号 S
字数 语种
DOI
五维指标
传播情况
(/次)
(/年)
引文网络
引文网络
二级参考文献  (0)
共引文献  (0)
参考文献  (0)
节点文献
引证文献  (0)
同被引文献  (0)
二级引证文献  (0)
2019(0)
  • 参考文献(0)
  • 二级参考文献(0)
  • 引证文献(0)
  • 二级引证文献(0)
研究主题发展历程
节点文献
AGROFORESTRY
SYSTEM
RISK
MONTE
Carlo
method
and
sensitivity
analysis.
研究起点
研究来源
研究分支
研究去脉
引文网络交叉学科
相关学者/机构
期刊影响力
农业科学与技术:B
双月刊
2161-6264
武汉洪山区卓刀泉北路金桥花园C座4楼
出版文献量(篇)
177
总下载数(次)
0
总被引数(次)
0
论文1v1指导