Mass-Casualty Distribution for Emergency Healthcare:A Simulation Analysis

• 作者: Mohsin Nasir Jat Raza Ali Rafique
• 来源期刊: 国际灾害风险科学学报（英文版）
• 年，卷（期）: 2020,（3）
• 所属期刊栏目: ARTICLES
• 页码范围: 364-377
• 页数: 14页
• 语种: 英文

摘要

This study focuses on the casualty-load distri-bution problem that arises when a mass casualty incident(MCI) necessitates the engagement of multiple medical facilities.Employing discrete event simulations,the study analyzed different MCI response regimes in Lahore,Pak-istan,that vary in terms of the level of casualty-load dis-tribution and the required coordination between the incident site and the responding hospitals.Past terrorist attacks in this major metropolitan area were considered to set up experiments for comparing delays in treatment under the modeled regimes.The analysis highlights that the number of casualties that are allowed to queue up at the nearest hospital before diverting the casualty traffic to an alternate hospital can be an important factor in reducing the overall treatment delays.Prematurely diverting the casu-alty traffic from the incident site to an alternate hospital can increase the travel time,while a delay in diversion can overload the nearest hospital,which can lead to overall longer waiting times in the queue.The casualty distribution mechanisms based only on the responding hospitals' available capacity and current load can perform ineffi-ciently because they overlook the trade-off between the times casualties spend in traveling and in queues.