An epidemiological analysis of the Beijing 2008 Hand-Foot-Mouth epidemic

• 来源期刊: 科学通报(英文版)
• 学科: 数学
• 关键词: 流行病学分析 疫情 北京 Weibull分布模型 作者 对数正态分布 季节变化 平均年龄
• 年，卷（期）: 2010,（12）
• 所属期刊栏目: ARTICLES
• 页码范围: 1142-1149
• 页数: 8页
• 分类号: O213.2 U491.31
• 语种: 英文

摘要

This paper presents an empirical analysis of the epidemiological data concerning the 18445 HFMD-infected cases in Beijing in 2008.The main findings are as follows.(i) Seasonal variations in incidence were observed,with a peak observed during the summer season,especially in May.Male patients outnumber female patients by 1.57:1.(ii) Most cases occurred in children 4 years old or younger.Outperforming Weibull distribution and Gamma distribution as to model fitness when analyzing patient ages,log-normal distrib...