Global Warming and the Power-Laws of Ecology

• 作者: Alrenice C. Castro Godofredo C. Genofre Jo?o D. T. Arruda-Neto Joel Mesa Joseph Harari Maria C. Bittencourt-Oliveira Tulio E. Rodrigues
• 来源期刊: 大气和气候科学(英文)
• 学科: 医学
• 关键词: Global WARMING SPECIES EXTINCTION ECOLOGY POWER-LAWS SPECIES Variability Model
• 年，卷（期）: 2012,（1）
• 页码范围: 8-13
• 页数: 6页
• 分类号: R73

摘要

A model based on Watson’s power law for the species-area relationship predicts that full global warming, projected up to the year 2050, could provoke the disappearance of roughly one-quarter of existing species. Here, an alternative approach is worked out, based on the combination of two ecology laws: Taylor and Watson’s power laws, where the former relates species variability with their mean abundance. Just how severely global warming would affect not only the number but the diversity of the surviving species is addressed by this approach, while at the same time giving indications for the post-disaster fate of the remaining species (extinction or recovery).