Research on Fault Prediction of Modern Aviation Electronic Equipment Based on Improved Grey Model

• 作者: Junjie Zhou Naidong Zhou Qigen Jing Xinhua Xie
• 来源期刊: 软件工程与应用(英文)
• 学科: 医学
• 关键词: GREY Model FAULT PREDICTION MODERN AVIATION ELECTRONIC Equipment
• 年，卷（期）: 2013,（3）
• 页码范围: 1-3
• 页数: 3页
• 分类号: R73

摘要

The basic principle and method of Grey Model prediction are presented. In view of the defects of general GM(1,1) model, an improved method is proposed. That is using the particle swarm optimization algorithm to obtain the best forecast dimension and using metabolism to make the model parameters adaptively change. Finally, the improved Grey Model is used to predict the fault of high voltage power supply circuit of a certain type of modern air-borne radar. The results which are computed and simulated by Matlab software show that the forecast precision of improved Grey Model is higher than that of original Grey Model.