Double Earthquakes Classification and Seismic Precursors

• 作者: Giulio Riga Paolo Balocchi
• 来源期刊: 地震研究(英文)
• 学科: 医学
• 关键词: DOUBLE EARTHQUAKES Microsequence FORESHOCK Mainshock Pattern SEISMICITY FLUCTUATION Prediction
• 年，卷（期）: dzyjyw_2018,（1）
• 页码范围: 1-27
• 页数: 27页
• 分类号: R73

摘要

In this paper, we examine both the sequence and organisation of major shallow earthquakes occurred in various areas of the world from 1904 to 2017. We aim to describe their major features and how they are connected with foreshocks and aftershocks immediately close in time and space. Examining magnitude value’s fluctuations over time, we see that they form a basic pattern, consisting of three maxima, one of which is central, and two or more events preceding and following it, whose magnitude, in some cases, may be comparable. The retrospective analysis of earthquakes’ patterns of high comparable magnitude has allowed their classification along with the development of some statistically significant relationships between epicentral distance and magnitude difference and between time interval and delay among maxima as well as the identification of activation signals predicting their occurrence. The pattern we identified in seismic sequences analysis, in relation to minor shocks-generated activation signals’ positions may be used to obtain useful information for the evolutionary study of seismic sequences and for predicting double and multiple earthquakes. The graphic analysis procedure applied to the pattern enables us to know the period of seismic sequence’s greatest hazard after a strong earthquake.